Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Department of Financial Management, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
2
Department of Financial Management, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
3
Department of Accounting, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
Abstract
The Iranian banking system, as the cornerstone of a bank-centric economy, faces multiple risks that threaten its financial stability and performance. This study aims to develop a composite risk index based on Fuzzy Data Envelopment Analysis (Fuzzy DEA) to evaluate and rank 13 Iranian banks in 2021. Financial and non-financial data were extracted from the Codal system and expert opinions, analyzing credit, liquidity, operational, and market risks within an integrated fuzzy model. Using the DEMATEL technique, 33 key indicators were selected from 44 initial indicators, and the Fuzzy DEA model was implemented using LINGO software. Results showed that Pasargad and Middle East banks led with a 100% efficiency score in risk management, while Parsian, Maskan, Tejarat, and Saderat banks ranked lower due to high liquidity risk. Operational risk was identified as the most critical factor affecting efficiency. The study’s contribution lies in offering a novel approach to integrating multiple risks by modeling uncertainties through Fuzzy DEA and refining indicators with DEMATEL, enhancing evaluation accuracy compared to traditional methods like CAMELS and addressing the gap in simultaneous risk analysis in Iran’s volatile economy. These findings assist bank managers and policymakers in identifying weaknesses, improving risk management strategies, and enhancing the stability of Iran’s banking system.
Keywords: Fuzzy Data Envelopment Analysis, Composite Risk Index, Bank Ranking, Risk Management, Iranian Banking Industry.