The Impact of improving Political Uncertainty on the Arrival of Tourists with the mediating Role of Economic Growth, Consumption Index, Control of Currency Fluctuations

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
seyed fatemeh abdollahi bahnemiri 1
vahid reza mirabi 2
ali norooi mobarake 3
1 PhD Student in Business Management-Marketing, Department, Kish International Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kish, Iran,
2 Faculty member, Associate Professor of Management, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch, Tehran
3 Faculty member, Assistant Professor of Management, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran
10.30495/jik.2024.23758
Abstract
This Research Examines the Impact of Improving Political Uncertainty on the arrival of Tourists with the mediating Role of Economic Growth, Consumption Index, Control of Currency Fluctuations; the Statistical Population of This Study is All Foreign Tourists who were selected based on the number of people entering the country. Also, other Variables Include Political Uncertainty, Consumption index, through the total calculation Index and Variables Controlling Currency Fluctuation Based on Exchange Rate and Economic Growth Based on price. Oil is extracted in Billion Rials based on Gross Domestic Product from 2001 to 2020 on a 20-year basis from the World Database and the Economic and Financial Bank. Data Analysis is based on Structural Model. The Result of the First Hypothesis Shows that the Improvement of Political uncertainty has an Effect on the Arrival of Tourists with a Mediating Role of Economic Growth. The Result of the Second Hypothesis was that the Improvement of Political Uncertainty has an Effect on the Arrival of Tourists with the Mediating Role of the Consumption Index. The result of the Third Hypothesis also showed that the Improvement of Political Uncertainty has an Effect on the Arrival of Tourists with the Mediating Role of Controlling Currency Fluctuations.
Keywords
Improving Political Uncertainty
Tourist Arrivals
Gross Domestic Product
Consumption index
Currency Fluctuations
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