The Effect of DEA-Based Stock Preselection on the Performance of Equally Weighted and Markowitz Portfolios: Evidence from the Tehran Stock Exchange

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 PhD Candidate in Financial Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Iran
2 Professor, Department of Financial Management, Accounting, and Financial Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate Professor, Department of Financial Management, Islamshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
4 Associate Professor, Department of Applied Mathematics, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to investigate whether asset preselection using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) can improve the performance of conventional portfolios, namely the equally weighted portfolio and the Markowitz mean–variance optimized portfolio. In this framework, an initial set of stocks listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange (the base sample) is first constructed. Then, using three DEA approaches—including DEA based on historical return/risk data, DEA based on MACD technical indicators, and DEA based on RSI technical indicators—15 “efficient” stocks are selected under each approach.
In the next stage, both equally weighted and Markowitz portfolios are constructed for the base sample as well as for each subset of the 15 efficient stocks. Annual return, annual risk, and comparative performance indicators are then calculated. The empirical results indicate that DEA-based preselection—particularly the historical-data-based DEA approach—can simultaneously increase expected returns and, in some scenarios, reduce portfolio risk. In other words, DEA acts as an “efficiency filter” that enhances the quality of the investment universe for portfolio allocation models. The findings have important practical implications for professional investors and financial policymakers, especially in emerging markets with trading constraints.
Keywords

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